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Old 04-16-2012, 06:48 PM   #2125
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis View Post
No suprise...it's tightening up


Complete reversal in both cities? What a weird election...

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/...rticle2403600/
I think provincial-level polling tends to be tremendously inaccurate (remember how the Conservatives were generally expected to lose support in 2008, according to all the poles); but there's an effect I think might make it even more inaccurate this time around. A few people I've talked with (infact, anybody I've raised the subject with) has said that they refuse to take part in any sort of robocall poll, in light of the federal robocall scandal and the possibility that these aren't actual polls and instead are either push-polls or are data-collection polls from individual parties. Admittedly, most of the people I've talked to (but not all of them) are from the left side of the spectrum, but it makes me wonder if the robocall scandal might actually have an impact on the accuracy of polling, if a significantly higher number of people are opting out of them. If that's affecting one side of the political spectrum more than the other, then it's even more problematic.
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