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Rathji
I agree with some of what you said except when you compare to the PC you have to compare with what they have now, you cannot assume that anything will change. So its the promises of the three opposition parties and their ability to keep them vs the current state of affairs.
An incumbent has to be judged on what they did, not on what they say they are going to do. After all they have a 41 year old record, plenty to look at.