Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
Well he doesn't say who will win in each riding, he just adds projections based on the polling results. So the longer a party shows a certain trend or certain holding pattern he tries to factor that into his projections. Province-wide he gives a low/high for each party and his current thought.
I read his updates federally and as I recall he wasn't close. When I see his Calgary projection at zero Liberals though, I think he bases it entirely on the polling. Like I say, maybe Wildrose would dominate the city today, but there are still seats for the Liberals and I think seats in play in general. I think I live in a riding where the seat is up in the air really. There are quite a few signs for both the Wildrose and PCs, and its impossible to say who is winning from what I can see.
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One not-insignificant question is what the Wild Rose's ground operation is like. I assume it's good, but somewhat untested? I honestly don't know; FL could speak to it maybe.