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Originally Posted by Slava
Well getbak, you know what they say: "this is what always happens, until it doesn't"
I looked at 308 this morning and while the polls are seemingly holding his seat counts are off I think. There is almost no way Calgary goes entirely Wildrose. Firstly, Kent Hehr and David Swann win. Then you have a bunch of ridings (Currie, Varsity, McCall for example) where there is a fairly decent amount of Liberal support and a growing split between the PC and Wildrose voter. It's not a lock for any party there, and could come down to each campaign.
Then we have ridings with guys like J. Denis, Ric McIver, and Alison Redford. I think they pull through. I don't know every riding in the city, but I would think there are strong PC associations and same goes for the Wildrose. So the numbers get a bit deceiving. A party can win one riding with 65% of the vote and next door they lose with 25%. Its really hard to predict.
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I don't know how you infer riding-by-riding support from a province-wide poll anyway. That seems really goofy. Do they talk about their methodology?
That's not to say we aren't headed toward a WildRose government. I think we are; I just hope Albertans aren't surprised when it turns out that the party of Rod Love in 2012 is pretty much the same as the party of Rod Love in 2010, or 2009, or 2008, or you get the picture. Sometimes "voting for change" just means voting for lawn signs that are a different colour.