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Originally Posted by kirant
I always wonder about these...wasn't there an indication of a possible Conservative minority before they ran over the Liberals and NDP last election?
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My memory is kinda fuzzy, but iirc the Conservaties were playing on the razors edge of a majoirty throughout the election polls, but it was really unclear that it would happen. the polls also predicted that the Liberal's would be hurt but still finish as the official opposition right up until I think the last couple of weeks of the election when Ignatieff really stumbled in the debates and Layton's Orange Crush surged.
I think in terms of the whole sober thought thing, it really split between people who were sick of elections who suddenly jumped on the wagon, and people who were seduced by Layton's charm and saw the NDP as a viable alternative. The Sober thought at the polls I think hurt the Liberal's due to Ignatieff's failures and destroyed the BLOC.