Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher
In a way yes.
But at the same time you're quoting the exceptions. Go look at the 4th and 5th rounds for the past decade and you'll find the percentage of getting a good NHLer is fairly miniscule.
In fact lots of 2nd rounders don't become NHLers. Well over 50%. If Byron turns into a decent NHLer we're okay on that deal.
But yes when rebuilding you want as many picks as possible. You have to realize though that the chance of getting a young star is extreme low in the 3-7th rounds.
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Yeah, sure I've seen the odds at finding a good NHLer in the lower rounds or any round but if you don't have a pick your odds are zero. We need a home run at some stage or we are just settling for more mediocrity like Byron seems to be. If Byron doesn't win a spot next year, he's eligible for waivers so we could lose him for nothing and I don't see Byron winning a spot.
Gaudreau could be an example of swinging for the fences, he's still a gamble but a 4th rounder who can be a star.