One thing to note is that Luck is the most hyped QB since Manning, however that year there was debate on whether Manning was the top QB in that class with Leaf. Leaf was a "can't miss" prospect as well and look where that ended up. Lots of "experts" rated Leaf higher than Manning. Speaking of look what the Chargers traded to move up one spot to draft Leaf:
2 1st rounders
2nd rounder
Eric Metcalf
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