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octothorp · 01-23-2006, 12:53 PM

I think it's gonna be a really slim Conservative government:

Cons: 114
Libs: 110
NDP: 29
Bloc: 54
Ind: 1

For once, the Conservatives actually get a lower percentage of seats than they do popular vote (37% of seats, and about 40% of vote).

Tough break for the NDP, who see their seats go up significantly, but see their actual power go down (because they can't effectively form any sort of majority alliance with either of the major parties). They would ideally like about a thirty-seat victory for either the Tories or the Liberals, so they can still control the balance of power.

Disappointing result for the Bloc, who gain only a couple seats despite having everything going for them.

In the case of a close result, the Quebec City independent will likely be willing to jump ship to the Tories.

All things considered, I don't think any party will really be happy. The Tories will be happiest, but given recent predictions of a 30-seat victory, they'll be disappointed that their margin is fairly small.

01-23-2006, 12:53 PM	#37
octothorp Franchise Player Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: not lurking Exp:	I think it's gonna be a really slim Conservative government: Cons: 114 Libs: 110 NDP: 29 Bloc: 54 Ind: 1 For once, the Conservatives actually get a lower percentage of seats than they do popular vote (37% of seats, and about 40% of vote). Tough break for the NDP, who see their seats go up significantly, but see their actual power go down (because they can't effectively form any sort of majority alliance with either of the major parties). They would ideally like about a thirty-seat victory for either the Tories or the Liberals, so they can still control the balance of power. Disappointing result for the Bloc, who gain only a couple seats despite having everything going for them. In the case of a close result, the Quebec City independent will likely be willing to jump ship to the Tories. All things considered, I don't think any party will really be happy. The Tories will be happiest, but given recent predictions of a 30-seat victory, they'll be disappointed that their margin is fairly small.