IMO it's a combo of both, many people have bought into the fear mongering, sure the Cons are ahead at the moment but many people I have spoken too about polotics who would regularily vote conservative are voting liberal to "avoid him (Harper) winning majority so he can't push his agenda" what they don't realize is that this kind of wide spread swinging is what will cause (my prediction) of the Liberals winning at the very end because of these kinds of voters.
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