Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - New Poll Sees Tory Lead Dramatically Shrink

ernie · 01-20-2006, 05:45 AM

As well I'd imagine that it's the big cities of Toronto and montreal that may be firming up Liberal support that is driving these polls. They are liberal territory and likely will remain so (though there are a number of close races). I still think if you looked at a complete voter composite you'll see a pool of red of the metropolitan Toronto area in an ocean of blue in rural/less metropolitan areas. I'm not sure the Tories figured they would win many of those ridings anyways...they are hoping to steal one or two and hoping the NDP steal a few as well. In addition, i don't think the liberal support is any more firm than what the Conservative support was...a strong final three days or another major liberal gaff (and really the liberal candidate conceeding and the Saskatooon story may be all that's necessary) will reverse the poll.

It must really annoy the NDP that no matter what they do they are always in the 15% of the vote range. I think Layton's "lend us your vote" speeches were weak and showed a complete lack of confidence and leadership and it's hurting them.

01-20-2006, 05:45 AM	#10
ernie Franchise Player Join Date: Oct 2004 Exp:	As well I'd imagine that it's the big cities of Toronto and montreal that may be firming up Liberal support that is driving these polls. They are liberal territory and likely will remain so (though there are a number of close races). I still think if you looked at a complete voter composite you'll see a pool of red of the metropolitan Toronto area in an ocean of blue in rural/less metropolitan areas. I'm not sure the Tories figured they would win many of those ridings anyways...they are hoping to steal one or two and hoping the NDP steal a few as well. In addition, i don't think the liberal support is any more firm than what the Conservative support was...a strong final three days or another major liberal gaff (and really the liberal candidate conceeding and the Saskatooon story may be all that's necessary) will reverse the poll. It must really annoy the NDP that no matter what they do they are always in the 15% of the vote range. I think Layton's "lend us your vote" speeches were weak and showed a complete lack of confidence and leadership and it's hurting them. Last edited by ernie; 01-20-2006 at 05:49 AM.