I suspect the closer Horner gets to Mar, the better it is for...Redford for the second ballot. Mar and Horner supporters, will most likely out of fear of the other leading candidate will stick in the 3rd place candidate as second preference. Much like in 2006 with Stelmach.
If Mar is a good 10% ahead by the end of the night, I think that will be tough to catch.
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Trust the snake.
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