The poll is here:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servl...lDecision2006/
Of note....
- poll conducted Tuesday and Wednesday with a larger number of Quebecers in order to get a handle on the situation
- Debates failed to change anyones minds (bad news for martin). Harper the winner with 35 %, 14 % say martin won, 8 % Layton.
- attack ads have failed to bite into the Tory lead though support has leveled off a bit (though I think anyone who thought it would continue to grow in leaps in bounds would have been on crack).
- support in Quebec for Tories has stabilized at 23 % (48 % Bloc, 18 % Liberals, 8 % NDP).
- Rise in Quebec Tory support most likely to defeat Bloc MPs than liberals
- Montreal: Liberals had 44% of vote last time out they are down to 24 %. Bloc has moved up to 48% and Tories trail at 16 %. Looks like the Liberals are going to lose seats to the Bloc and Bloc lose seats to the Conservatives.
-nationally liberals dropped one point to 27 %, tories remain at 39 %, NDP remain at 16 %, Bloc unchanged at 12 %, green up one point to 5%
-40% of liberals say Harper will be prime minister
- 56 % have favourable impression of Harper (63 % in Quebec. Martin impression has dropped to 38 % (23 % in Quebec)
- Tories have lead in Ontario at 39 %, 35 % Liberals, 19 % NDP, 7% Green.
- projected seat breakdown: 152 Tories (57 in Ontario, 8 Quebec...I think columns don't line up right in the online version), 74 Liberals (39 ontario, 7 Quebec), 60 Bloc, 21 NDP, 1 Indpendent
- as it stands Harper is making the inroads in ontario and Quebec that he needs to.
- in other news....Harper and Ricky from trailer park boys are distant cousins. They share a great-great-great-great-grandfather