Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames in 07
I could probably dig this out somewhere but how many players does Toronto have that could end up providing first round compensation next year. And what's the criteria?
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I'll give it a shot although I am far from a baseball expert - They use something called the Elias Rankings as criteria, basically they compare all players at each position over the last 2 years. If a free agent player reaches type A or B performance, the Jays offer them arbitration and they turn it down, the Jays get a first rounder (type A) or a second rounder (type B) from the signing team when they sign elsewhere.
Most free agents turn down arbitration. Also the top 15 draft picks are protected. If one of those teams signs a type A, their second round pick is given instead.
Here's the most recent Elias that was on MLBTR;
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/elias-rankings/
Molina is barely a type B at this point (largely on average I'm assuming, probably won't last:
Patterson and Rivera are creeping up the list, though both had bad 2010s so it is an uphill climb.
Almost the whole Jays pen is A or B and that's their best shot at comp picks as there are quite a few free agents there.
I think the Jays will make a splash this offseason themselves in free agency and might lose their 1st next year, but that's just guesswork.