[trackercowe]

I kind of disagree; I believe Natalie is more loyal to Rob, than to Ashley imo. I sure as hell hope I am right, as Rob at least getting to the final 3 would be disappointing.

The RI winner better win their way before any immunity challenges are played. I'd be kind of pissed if I was the last one eliminated and didn't get a chance at Redemption, but if the RI returnee only has to win one immunity challenge, I'd be pretty pissed off.

If Mike, Matt, or possibly Grant gets back into the game, and wins just one challenge, then the final vote is all but synched in their favor.

Another reason why I firmly believe Ashley and Natalie have to vote with Rob and Phillip to get the returnee off is because of that. I think both Matt and especially Mike are guaranteed the million dollars if they make the final 3. Grant probably would beat the two girls, and Andrea may have made a few friends on RI herself.

This is why I believe the four who are still on the island should compose the final 3. If Rob needs to he must play the idol at the next TC, and get either Ashley, or more likely the RI winner out. Come the final 4 there will be Rob, Natalie, Phillip, and either Ashley, or the RI winner left.

This is where Rob must win immunity imo. I could easily see Phillip or Natalie wanting to make their "big move" in the final four, and voting against Rob. While Phillip has been somewhat entertaining, I'll turn the TV off if the final 3 are Phillip, Natalie, and Ashley (Phillip and Natalie are guaranteed to be there at this point). Or if Matt gets back and votes out Rob, that will just ruin the game.

I still find it funny how many Rob haters there are out there. He may be both cocky and arrogant, but in a good way. He is not a prick to his tribe mates like Russell, and busts his ass in every aspect of the game. He deserves to win it this year, and it will be a shame if someone who just tagged along wins it again (tired of that happening).