Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
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That is a fair and level-headed projection.
It will be interesting to see if this kind of projection, using data over the entire campaign, is more accurate or if EKOS projection based on the most recent polling data is more accurate.
The Threehundredeight.com projection uses the following popular vote percentages (percent change from weekend polling averages in brackets):
CPC - 36.4% (+0.6%)
NDP - 27.3% (-4.0%)
LIB - 22.8% (+2.4%)
BLQ - 6.7% (+0.9%)
GRN - 5.6% (+0.5%)
This type of backslide in support for the NDP may well happen at the polls.
I'm off to do my own projection!