Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
The really interesting thing about the April 29 Nanos poll is that while it shows the CPC and Liberals both making gains against the NDP, the Bloc are still going downward.
As irrelevant as the Greens pretty much are, it is interesting to see that they are polling anywhere from 1/2 to 1/3 what they got in the 2008 election in every region of the country. That may not be good news for the Conservatives, as I suspect that if the voters abandon the Greens in similar numbers on Monday, most of those votes would be going Liberal or NDP.
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I would expect that having a weekend before the vote is probably the worst thing for the NDP, because most people won't be tuning in and will only hear media sound bites about the NDP platform which most of the mainstream is really questioning now.
Its also two days of sober thought for voters and they might get freaked out that their so called protest vote might dramatically shift the Canadian economy.
People used to talk about strategic voting against the Conservatives, but with the rise in numbers for the NDP and the sharp decline of the Libs you might see a shift in strategic voting to the Cons or the Libs.
Where this election really hurts the Greens is in the pocket book, if they drop in half and lose half of their voter subsidies and their found raising isn't great shakes, you might see a party in real trouble financially.