Quote:
Originally Posted by Shazam
NDP had 43 seats once. Do you think Lay-ton's going to do better?
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I do. I think that they are polling much higher actually, and while I have no idea/information to base this on, I think that the CPC thinks that they are polling way higher as well. Think of it like this:
CPC at approximately 135 seats (I'd predict 134 today)
BQ at 25 seats
Liberals at 54
Greens: 1
Independent: 1
That leaves the NDP with the rest: 92.
Lets say that I'm crazy here. If the CPC is at 140, BQ is at 30 and Liberals are at 60 that still gives the NDP 76 seats.
The reason I say the CPC now recognizes this threat is because they've changed their messaging. If they though that the NDP was in the 40 seat range then they leave their message the same as it was before.
I might revise my seat predictions before Monday, but as of now I'd predict that first scenario. (I have no bloody clue, but its fun to try to predict the future!)