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Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
I blame the Liberals. If they were even a marginally credible alternative to the Tories at this point, we wouldn't even be having this conversation.
The NDP has managed to tap into both people's general dissatisfaction with Harper and the dissatisfaction with Ignatieff in the Center, not to mention Quebecers' dissatisfaction with the Bloc. Pretty impressive politically, since they appear to (possibly) have snatched a majority right out from under Stephen Harper's nose--and I think we can all agree that a majority was his for the taking at the start of the campaign.
The fact is, the NDP are the only ones who have run an even halfway decent campaign, and they're being rewarded. Ignatieff has been a complete disaster, and Harper has demonstrated a surprising lack of vision given the amount of time he had to prepare for this campaign. I think he thought he could win by running against "The Coalition--BOO!" He was wrong--and it looks like Jack Layton will be the beneficiary, perhaps to the tune of about 30 seats.
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At least out where I'm at the big flaw in the tory campaign strategically has been to avoid debate and public appearances - the kind of "prevent" defense their running. The new guy running in the Kootenays is the only one of five local candidates who refused to show up at a debate today saying he's busy with other things and to me that reflects their overall outlook which seemed a bit afraid of the public and the media right from the start.
It worked to a point of protecting their base but you can't grow your support that way.