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Originally Posted by Slava
Well there are polls that I've seen showing as high as 107 seats for the NDP, but people seem to dismiss those right away as outliers (there have been a few,which starts to make me wonder).
I don't buy the attack ads working over the weekend idea. When every news outlet starts election talk with "The Orange Crush" or some clever line about the surge of Jack Layton and the NDP its too late. Strategically the time to launch those attack ads about Layton was a few weeks back....you have to be ahead of these things.
Its not much different than playing the trap for two periods. Once your opponent scores and ties the game its hard to just turn it on again and start playing offence. It might not be impossible, but its an uphill battle.
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I have my doubts that the NDP are going to add 70 some odd seats in this election. To do that they need massive breakthroughs everywhere and not just in Ontario and Quebec. The NDP also has to deal with the vote splitting on the left that could allow the Conservatives to slide up the middle.
I agree on the attack ads side of things, I'm not a big fan of them, and we've seen several attack ad blunders from the Liberal's that have actually cut them off at the knees, and your right Slava neither of the main parties focused on the NDP when they should have.
But the Cons have to be split on what to do, right now the NDP are a vote splitting catalyst, and while they're popular it might not lead to seats, especially on Monday when people either don't vote, or they have that moment of sober thought and might vote with their heads instead of their hearts.
At this point we have 4 days left, or for the vapid who want to watch the Royal wedding three days left. I've been watching a lot of news over the last few days (I'm on a months vacation sue me) and all of the majors are now harshly examining the economic impact of the NDP platform. Even the major business communities are coming out in the press and stating that they're not on board with the NDP.
I would expect that things will get tough over the next few days for Jack.
I don't mind him as the official opposition, I think the gut is honest and eager and he wants to help the down trodden and all that. But the guy shouldn't be allowed to run the economy in Canada.