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Originally Posted by Slava
I just wanted to say that this poll (along with others that have come out recently), and the ridiculous press conference this morning for Harper has to be somewhat infuriating to the CPC faithful? I don't even mean from a policy/partisan standpoint either. I just mean from the perspective that the majority had to have been within their grasp early on in the campaign, but a terrible strategy in terms of the actual campaign is going to see that disappear, and even worse reduce their number of seats.
I know its easy to look at the Liberals and say what a disaster for them (and it ain't pretty!), but this sure doesn't look like its time for the CPC to gloat either. What a train wreck.
The other thing that seems to be showing as more likely is Elizabeth May winning her seat against Lunn.
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Disagree...I believe a majority is still very possible.
The surge in NDP poularity isnt going to affect the amount of seats much at all, and more to the point, the ones that switch to the dippers will come mainly at the expense of the Liberals and the Bloc.
If i was to guess today....I see the CPC getting 148 seats with about 5 more leaning their way....2 more elsewhere and it is in majority territory.
There is NO way the NDP will gain many more than about 10 from where things were at disolution....and therefore no chance as sitting as the minority government.
As for the May/Lunn battle...the latest poll I saw had Lunn with a comfortable 7 point lead....though that was some time ago.