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Originally Posted by peter12
I've been talking about this over with my colleagues at work. I wonder if given a choice between being the junior partner in an NDP/Bloc coalition and the junior partner with the Conservatives, the Libs might just swallow 20 years of rhetoric and posturing.
Both parties are really substantially centre-right, and would actually have common ground on virtually everything. The vast breadth of the Liberal base that remains would never, ever go over to the NDP.
I don't want to jump the gun here, but we might be seeing a very substantial realignment of Canadian democracy here.
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The way I see it is that it depends on the Conservatives. If they perceive the NDP as the greater threat, they may be more willing to work with the Liberals. If that happens, then the Liberals become the swing vote, which, even with reduced numbers, is a fantastic position to hold.
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Originally Posted by starseed
I still get the feeling that we are looking at a conservative majority. They are looking at exactly the same numbers, with the only change being how the left vote will be further split. I would think that the conservatives are not going to lose many votes, and that will translate into more victories in close ridings. Most importantly, the conservatives are looking at better numbers than before in Ontario.
The 'Orange Wave' is going to be largely moot, and the government is only going to end up going further right... which is ironic.
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NDP support has been largely counter-productive for the left for a long time, but that may change if they become the second place party on a riding level.