This one claims to have a 97% success rate in calling seats from 2008. This time they have the CPC just into a majority when averaging it all out.
CANADA
CPC – avg 157 seats (40.3%) – low 134 (38.8%), high 171 (41.8%)
LPC – avg 69 (25.3%) – low 54 (23.8%), high 84 (26.8%)
BQ – avg 42 (7.6%) – low 38 (6.1%), high 49 (9.1%)
NDP – avg 39 (21.0%) – low 33 (19.5%), high 49 (22.5%)
GPC – avg 0 (4.8%) – low 0 (3.3%), high 0 (6.3%)
OTH – avg 1 (1.0%)
http://www.democraticspace.com/canada2011/
and here is a breakdown of ridings...
http://democraticspace.com/canada201...rojections.pdf