I've long stated that the Liberal's worst enemy was the NDP not the Conservatives. In a two party system like down south the Liberals walk away with every election unless the Conservatives move significantly more to the center (which would only be accomplished with a new leader).
In first past the post with three parties one side of the political spectrum will always be cannibalized with the other side running up the middle. This has been what's happened for the past 15 years at least.
If this is a real break away from the NDP then the Conservatives have got to be worried. Still though, too early to tell. But all eyes will be on that NDP support in the next two weeks.
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