Andrew Coyne tweeted a 35-28 poll. I really respect Coyne as a guy who takes shots at every party, and is generally entertaining if not right. The poll also had a question about whether the government is on the right track or not and that was a 42% on track versus 58% not. Might be meaningless, but that's a lot tighter than the poll yesterday.
If Harper wins a smaller minority will he pursue a coalition? Fact is that its not undemocratic at all. It's totally legitimate and in a parliamentary democracy you sometimes need to build concensus. Obviously Canadians are fairly divided right now, so what's the big deal about a parliament that reflects those divisions?
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