[Sylvanfan]

I think a key in the AFC Championship game is going to be the health of the Steelers at the tackle position. If they have to use backups at both tackle positions the Jets secondary is probably the best in the NFL when it comes to coverage. If the Steelers O-Line can't hold strong than the Jets 4 man pass rush is going to be able to pressure Roethlisberger, and if the coverage isn't breaking down he's taking a lot of sacks. The Steelers run game struggles against tough 3-4 defences so I don't think it will be much of a factor either.

If the Steelers want to win this game I think they'll need their defence to really dominate the Jets offence and force at least 3 turn overs. The Jets have superior Special teams, and I think their offence will handle the Steelers. So the key becomes the Jets offence being able to not get dominated by the Steelers defence. I think it will be a close low scoring game, the type of game where you can win with 17 points.

As for the Bears and Packers, I view the Packers as being one of the few teams who's offence or defence can win a game. Whereas I see the Bears being a dominating defensive team and not so dominating although improving on offence. I think the Bears maybe held back a few things offensively in their last matchup knowig that there was a possibility they may see the Packers again.

Still I'll use one play to exemplify why I think the Packers win. The Tramon Williams interception on Matt Ryan pretty much killed the Falcons. Jay Cutler makes a couple of throws like that every game, and he got away with it against the Seahawks, and even in the Monday night game against the Packers. I don't think he'll get away with it on Sunday and that the Packers defence will make him pay. Packers 24-17