Just looking at the quality of wins each team has in each conference, I think you have to go with New England from the AFC, and one of Atlanta, Green Bay or Philly from the NFC. The big thing for the Eagles will be to start running the football to take some pressure off of Vick and limit the amount of time their secondary spends on the field. I'm taking back my New Orleans pick and I'm going to say that the winner of the Philly/Green Bay game will be playing in the NFC Championship, but I have no clue who comes out of that game.
Mind you, the conspiracy theorist in me says there's no way the NFL allows Michael Vick remotely near Super Bowl week.
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