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JayP · 10-18-2010, 01:34 PM

For an example of how huge margin of victory is to the computer polls, look at Saragrin's:

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt10.htm

The ELO_CHESS column is the one used for the BCS - margin of victory is irrelevant. The PREDICTOR column is essentially the same formula except with margin of victory included.

Look at some of the huge changes:
- Oklahoma jumps from #1 to #7 (which, if all the computers had similar drops, would easily put them out of the top 2)
- Bama jumps from #20 to #5
- Wisconsin drops from #10 to #34
- Michigan St. drops from #3 to #27

There's plenty more of 10+ spot drops that could easily mix up the BCS rankings.

10-18-2010, 01:34 PM	#826
JayP Franchise Player Join Date: Mar 2003 Exp:	For an example of how huge margin of victory is to the computer polls, look at Saragrin's: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt10.htm The ELO_CHESS column is the one used for the BCS - margin of victory is irrelevant. The PREDICTOR column is essentially the same formula except with margin of victory included. Look at some of the huge changes: - Oklahoma jumps from #1 to #7 (which, if all the computers had similar drops, would easily put them out of the top 2) - Bama jumps from #20 to #5 - Wisconsin drops from #10 to #34 - Michigan St. drops from #3 to #27 There's plenty more of 10+ spot drops that could easily mix up the BCS rankings.