Quote:
Originally Posted by jjgallow
Advanced polls were huge this year. Even if Nenshi won in tomorrow's voting, he could still finish third. More importantly, the Leger poll definitely was flawed and while you are correct that it may sway some voters, it does not change the fact that all other polls put him in a distant third.
http://www.calgarybeacon.com/2010/10...rnout-in-2010/ |
I know. 3.6% of eligible voters cast advance polls. Let's say 36% election turnout: 10% of voters have already cast their ballots. Amongst them: election day volunteers (of which Nenshi has many), students (polls at SAIT, MRU, U of C). I'd also guess that the advance polls have a higher share of wasted ballots (Hehr, Hawkesworth, Stewart, etc.) than the regular polls will.
You know what the other (older) polls putting Nenshi shows, when taken in conjunction with the Leger poll? Momentum.