Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
And to be fair, Tranny, at 33-30-30, the statement "If they get them out to vote" applies to all three candidates. Barb's main supporter base is the high school graduate/dropout crowd, which ain't too likely to vote either. McIver seems to be the candidate most likely to have motivated voters based on historical trends, which is why it is very good to see his campaign stalling.
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Of course it does....but again I am just going off what has been written all over the place, Nenshi's HIGHEST level of support is in the 18-34 demo, the demo that has the lowest actual turnout historically. That trend needs to be broken for him to win, unless the polling is completely off base in that declaration.
And where did you read about Higgins supporter base? I havent read that and in fact i have never read about such a classification. However, if true, i would agree she would need em all as well. I would of assumed that her biggest support group are a bit older and came home and saw her every night on TV for 20 years, thereby having trust in her familiarity if nothing else.
Somehow i think people are reading what i have been saying as i am anti-nenshi, and nothing could be further from the truth. I am merely going by history, trends and what has been reported...and all this as a very neutral observer since the decision itself has no bearing on me at this point other than some peripheral stuff. I just found this whole thing fascinating as of late as when i was in town in August, there was no buzz about any of it and it seemed a foregone conclusion that McIver was gonna win in a walk.