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Old 10-13-2010, 02:06 PM   #743
firebug
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Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Mayor of McKenzie Towne
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Quote:
Originally Posted by flambers View Post
I would take the bet that it will not be 80 to 100% better than Higgins...

Yes I do believe its a "CP" and or Internet phenomenon... I bet he finishes 3rd.
I suspect your bet will be as accurate as this one was back in August.

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthr...75#post2628475

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cheese View Post
Im willing to bet that CP pundits are way off on their choice for Mayor...Nenshi will not crack top 5.
What I said back in August (my story hasn't changed) when Nenshi was polling about 5%:
Quote:
Originally Posted by firebug View Post
That is a tough nut to crack.

Some experts expect only 30 - 35% of eligible voters to participate in the upcoming election (link).

However, municipal elections offer the citizen the most direct way to become involved in politics.

Certainly this years Mayors race has such a broad spectrum of candidates that no person can truly claim that all candidates suck.

Internet access removes barriers to become informed about candidate's platforms (at least for those candidates who bother to prepare them).

Apathy is still a major problem that will hurt some candidates more than others.

Here is how i have them handicapped:
Higgins: Best name recognition, and currently polling in the lead; however I suspect that she will have the lowest 'follow-through' level of any of the candidates.

McIver: Very good name recognition and strong appeal to voters with similar priorities; his poll respondent's 'follow through' should be better than Barb, but won't be great.

Hehr/Nenshi: Yes they are two separate candidates but have some key similarities - high level of appeal to politically involved/interested voters; low levels of name recognition but highly involved supporters (ie. high level of election day follow through). Will they be able to bridge the gap?

Other Candidates: A diverse bunch, but so far none have shown either broad name recognition or a focused base of support.

~Bug
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Last edited by firebug; 10-13-2010 at 02:08 PM.
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