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Old 10-13-2010, 01:27 PM   #731
firebug
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Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Mayor of McKenzie Towne
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Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99 View Post
Again, and by all means correct me if i am wrong, Nenshi's big support comes from the 18-34 YO demographic, which historically has been the lowest turnout when it comes to actually going out and voting.

This is why i think his numbers mean less than any of the others in a poll of any size. If I am incorrect, then I would agree he is right there in terms of getting elected, and good for him if it happens and a result I would be happy with if i lived there. I just do not believe, if following past elections, this will be the case. To much history to ignore...though if the 58% of people who staunchly say they are turning out to vote include all those in his demo, then history wont be repeated.

I certainly agree that Nenshi is dominant among the 18- 35 YO category.

My personal experience however is not within that group. I work downtown (not on a campus of any sort), and my wife and I, along with most of our social group, trends slightly above that threshold (late 30's early 40's). Additionally, I would guess the average age of the people that I deliver signs to would be a little shy of 50, an age group very willing to go out and vote.
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