Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
If Higgins is polling at 30+%, and was just endorsed by anther candidate, why would she drop 10 points from now until Tuesday? Serious question.
i dont think there is a chance that the seperation of the vote is that big....but then again i am just looking on from thousands of miles a way.
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Calling Bob a candidate is very flattering to him. I know he was running for office, but when your support is less than the margin of error for the survey you are not really a candidate.
Calgary election turnout is
notoriously low. Even in the 2001 election when there was no incumbent running for mayor (similar to this race) turnout was less than 1/3 of eligible voters.
So, of the 500 respondents to this last survey, history suggests that ~165 will actually show up to the polls on election day and decide who wins. The candidate that can best get their supporters out to vote will win this election.
I spend a couple of hours several nights a week delivering election signs for the Nenshi campaign and have kept a close eye on what signs are actually on peoples lawns. Barb is so far behind McIver and Nenshi that it makes me think that she does not have enough supporters to do much more than answer her name in their livingroom when someone calls them on the phone.