Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
With voter undecideds being at 17% I always make the assumption that the 17% isn't sgoing to vote.
I agree with the momentum comment, but I've usually found that a lot of ground is made up at the beginning and middle part of the campaign but ground is made up grudgingly at the end because voters are lazy and usually won't change their minds late in the game.
A lot of the lesser candidates will scoop up the undecided votes because they'll be seen as protest votes for those who don't want to vote for the top three no matter what.
|
Last poll, that 17% was 44%, so assuming that the undecided voters won't become decided voters isn't a great assumption. I do agree though that last-minute changes are hard to earn. I also still think turnout won't pass 40%, which means a lot of "decided voters" won't show up. Right now I'd say it all depends on who the about half of the decided voters (or 40% of the population) who won't actually vote are supporting.