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Old 10-05-2010, 02:47 PM   #384
c.t.ner
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch View Post
But is it enough, I would expect the big push by all candidates and point shifts will be harder to come by.

I wouldn't mind Nenshi winning, but I still have worries about his ability to fix the financial problems and fix the auditable issues.
Well there are a lot of wildcards on the table still.
  • The poll does have a Margin of Error of +/-4.4%.
  • How do these numbers affect the supporters of Wayne Stewart, Craig Burrows, John Lord, etc.? Where do their voters go? Are they shifting towards Barb or will they go behind Nenshi? I don't think that their supporters are strongly aligned with McIver's policies.
  • Barb for all her name recognition and heavy hitters team isn't going anywhere. It's been an incredibly stagnant campaign and I don't see a monsterous momentum jump.
  • Nenshi's support has doubled and still has momentum building. That being said, for his camp it would have been better if he was in the 20% range, but it's still a strong indication of momentum.
  • 17% are still undecided.
  • Again there's no information on how the poll was determined, so we still need to see how information was gathered.
Either way it's going to be an interesting two weeks.
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