09-20-2010, 08:18 PM
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#202
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
Yeah, I won't actually throw any money down until Thursday or Friday. I might make an exception with the Pittsburgh game. That looks like one that could start to move.
By my calculations, road teams were 4/16 ATS with 3 push games in week 1, so that turns into 4/13. In week two they've gone 7/15 ATS. That equals out to 10/28, or 28%. That's actually low I think. I remember reading somewhere that road teams usually hit at around 40% ATS, so I don't put a whole lot of stock into home field advantage unless it's a straight bet.
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Home dogs are always 65%
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Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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