Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Calgary Civic Election Poll #3: The race heats up

Bunk · 09-19-2010, 09:29 AM

New poll out today from the herald:

56% decided, 44% undecided (big number)

of decided
McIver (43%)
Higgins (28%)
Nenshi (8%)
everyone else less than 3%

http://www.calgaryherald.com/news/Po...990/story.html

This means a two horse race, but a darkhorse in Nenshi that clearly has the most momentum and is the only one to break from that huge pack. This should be enough whereby the media sees him as a contender worth covering, which will increase his exposure to the average politically ambivalent Calgarian.

The hope for Nenshi is that there's a lot of precedent for a candidate to come from behind to win a mayoral race. As Braid points out Edmonton's current mayor Stephen Mandel was polling at 7.8% on nomination day to win when he was first elected and Duerr was a darkhorse candidate as well in 1989.

http://www.calgaryherald.com/news/Br...991/story.html

In 2003 in Toronto current outgoing mayor David Miller was polling sub 10%, way back of huge frontrunner Barbara Hall who was polling in the 45% range and was perceived to have a cake-walk into the mayor's seat. Miller ended up winning ahead of John Tory, with Hall a distant third.

09-19-2010, 09:29 AM	#404
Bunk Franchise Player Join Date: Jul 2006 Exp:	New poll out today from the herald: 56% decided, 44% undecided (big number) of decided McIver (43%) Higgins (28%) Nenshi (8%) everyone else less than 3% http://www.calgaryherald.com/news/Po...990/story.html This means a two horse race, but a darkhorse in Nenshi that clearly has the most momentum and is the only one to break from that huge pack. This should be enough whereby the media sees him as a contender worth covering, which will increase his exposure to the average politically ambivalent Calgarian. The hope for Nenshi is that there's a lot of precedent for a candidate to come from behind to win a mayoral race. As Braid points out Edmonton's current mayor Stephen Mandel was polling at 7.8% on nomination day to win when he was first elected and Duerr was a darkhorse candidate as well in 1989. http://www.calgaryherald.com/news/Br...991/story.html In 2003 in Toronto current outgoing mayor David Miller was polling sub 10%, way back of huge frontrunner Barbara Hall who was polling in the 45% range and was perceived to have a cake-walk into the mayor's seat. Miller ended up winning ahead of John Tory, with Hall a distant third. __________________ Trust the snake.