Interesting, that poll is a larger sample size than any I've seen in quite a while. But agreed, summer polls aren't generally meaningful. However, the most interesting number is Ontario: it shows the Liberals with a nearly 7% lead (39% to 32%). No poll has showed the Liberals with that sort of lead since mid January. And if it held true, it would represent a 12 point swing in Ontario from the last election, where the Conservatives finished with a 5% lead.
But I think the Conservative numbers are skewed because a lot of people who support the Greens in polls will actually vote conservative. The numbers look particularly wonky in Atlantic Canada, with the Greens actually in second place, and the Liberals with a 25 point lead over the Conservatives.
|