Quote:
Originally Posted by Vulcan
You're hopefully right but I can't forget that this is a country that re-elected Bush and things have gotten more hysterical in the Excited States of America, with this economic downturn.
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Money is often more close to people's heart than people because it goes to security of self.As I said at the time, it would take a collossal boob to not serve a second term in the circumstances in which Barack Obama came into office . . . . an economy likely bottoming, thanks to decisions in September/October just preior to Obama stepping into office, his predecessor signing off on an Iraq withdrawal that Obama would get credit for . . . . . all should have meant a slam dunk re-election four years in the future. It's probably still going to be that way but he's gassing it a bit and now there's a serious chance he's going to be out of office, although his opposition is still weak and disorganized. In GW Bush 2's second term re-election, the economy was out of recession and pushing ahead. When GW Bush 1 was trying to get re-elected, he was 73% in the polls after the first Gulf War and out of office a year and a half later as the economy slipped into recession.There's lessons in those two circumstances.War isn't too relevant frankly, particularly Iraq and Afghanistan which have been relatively low cost in terms casualties and economics relative to other high profile wars like WWII, Korea and Vietnam. The common American really never had to sacrifice for these modern wars as they did for the others. It never hit home across a broad swath of the country, even as it tragically did for specific households.If someone loses their job, however, that's when a voter gets mad. It's always about the economy.Cowperson