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Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
There are reactors that are meant to just create weapons grade material. The other advanced warning is Iran purchasing 164 gas centrifuges for purification of nuclear fuel.
Right now they're enriching to 20% purity which is fine for peaceful purposes, its going past that where you get into creating bomb materials.
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That being the case, it's hard to justify saying to any nation that they can't create a source of energy for their country.
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While I doubt Israel will launch a strike on Iran at this time because it would firmly put them in the bad guy camp, I'm betting that when that reactor goes live, Israel will retarget most of their nuclear capability on Iranian cities.
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I think Israel is already firmly in the 'bad guy' category among most Middle-Eastern states. I'm fairly confident in saying that Israel's international popularity would take a back seat to their survival. As it stands now, I'm sure Israel has a good number of weapons pointed directly at Tehran and all of their infrastructure and weapons facilities.
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We're going to see MAD in the Middle East.
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That's been a constant threat for several decades now. Call me naive but I think there are still some diplomatic measures that can be taken to avoid a large scale (nuclear or 'conventional') war in the Middle-East. I don't believe it's in anyones best interests, Russia and China included, to allow Iran to produce nuclear weapons.
Bolton talks like he's the only one who recognizes the threat and his only course of action is a pre-emptive military strike. Neither Russia nor China want war in the Middle-East. It not only doesn't help them but it also becomes a threat to their countries, especially to Russia and their issues with their own Muslim terrorist problems (Chechnya). China seems more interested in economic growth these days. A catastrophe in the Middle-East would not help their cause.