Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
Its only surprising because its the Sun. In reality though its just another online poll and we all know how easy these are to rig. A few twitters to supporters and some facebook messages and it might look like the next mayor is mainly concerned about chicken farming.
If any candidate is crushing like that its either McIver or Higgins.
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Well, common sense says you're right--but the truth is that we're in slightly uncharted waters here. We know that there's a good deal of anti-incumbency sentiment, but we don't know if that will be enough to hurt McIver. We know that there are a lot of candidates, but beyond the top two we're actually guessing when it comes to even name recognition, let alone actual support among likely voters.
The fact is--no poll that doesn't have a very solid likely voter screen along with a decent sample size is going to give us anything like an accurate picture of what's going to happen in this election. Period. We still haven't seen one, and until we do prognostication is sort of pointless.