Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Bush takes large lead on Kerry: latest polls

Mike F · 09-04-2004, 10:42 PM

I think its over.

I can't remember what show it was on, so I can't site the source, but one non-partisan analyst I saw interviewed said that these national poll results are going to be of little relevance when it comes to predicting the results of the election.

His reasoning was that Bush has solidified his base to a nearly unprecidented extent, and his hold on traditionally conservative states is iron tight. However if you look at the state-by-state polling, Kerry still leads in the traditionally Liberal states and is still neck-and-neck in the swing states.

Now this may have changed between that interview and the convention, but I wouldn't go calling the race due to national polls.

09-04-2004, 10:42 PM	#6
Mike F Franchise Player Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Djibouti Exp:	I think its over. I can't remember what show it was on, so I can't site the source, but one non-partisan analyst I saw interviewed said that these national poll results are going to be of little relevance when it comes to predicting the results of the election. His reasoning was that Bush has solidified his base to a nearly unprecidented extent, and his hold on traditionally conservative states is iron tight. However if you look at the state-by-state polling, Kerry still leads in the traditionally Liberal states and is still neck-and-neck in the swing states. Now this may have changed between that interview and the convention, but I wouldn't go calling the race due to national polls.