Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
^ that is true, but I'm of the opinion that even if 100% of the population turns out the results are very similar. Every political party thinks that the 70% that didn't vote would've voted for them! I figure that the results of the general election can be transposed over to the rest of the population that didn't vote. If McIver wins the majority of those who vote you can virtually rest assured he would do the same amongst non-voters unless the results are really close.
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I think that might be true for higgins or say mcivor but Nenshi would never win if 100% of the people voted. He can win if only 30% vote and only if he can get ~30%ish of that vote.
So long as he can keep his likely liberal leanings off the radar in this campaign and keep it only to the issues I think he can win. If people start seeing platform ideas like "a more dense Calgary" as a liberal idea rather than a "smart for Calgary idea" that is when I think he starts to lose.
The other issue that I am not sure which way it will fly is his North East centric dialog. If he can get the NE voters out in force (which I think he needs the ethnic vote in Calgary to be over 50% at least in his favor to win), but if he cant then he needs to tone down the NE speak imo. No one outside of the NE cares that Marlborough mall is a dump or that the traffic along 32 street is insane at rush hour because of the CTrain.
Also I think he should hire an image consultant. I dont think the spare tire jolly go lucky big guy routine works to his advantage in the long run.
I think if the people running Higgins are smart, they will brand her as the female conservative opposite of mciver.