Quote:
Originally Posted by Blaster86
Nintendo's first party games are some of the best released in the past few years. The system will likely survive on those alone and continue to be an amazing seller because of that 1st party library and console price, I just don't see the Xbox either getting a huge advantage or even improving slightly because of this.
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I don't necessarily disagree with you either (Nintendo has some great IP), but even Nintendo said early 2010 that the device has probably peaked. It's probably got a few years of high installed base + new games, but eventually people are going to start putting them in their closet or up for sale on craigslist.
Nintendo did phenomenal because they didn't compete with PS3 and 360. MS and Sony continued moving in one direction and Nintendo veered right. It was an amazing strategy and they made off like madmen because of it. But you can kind of picture Nintendo as the light, agile ship with a huge juggernaut of a warship (MS) bearing down on them. And is Sony on the horizon, closing on the other side? They enjoyed a really strong advantage as early movers and had five years to play with it. But the competitive field is going to get a lot more cluttered, whereas before it was blue ocean as far as the eye could see now you have a few more players.
The question for Nintendo execs is how to hold their position. I'm not saying it is impossible, they've got a pretty good track record and have been working on this for five years, but the future is a little more uncertain than it was yesterday, and that's why I made the cheeky comment about watching the stock price. At the very least, the Wii 2's life cycle and value offering should be interesting to see.
That's why the tech industry is so exciting to watch (at least, for me, and especially recently) - it's a volatile playing field with rapid innovation. Past sales are no guarantee of future success.