Quote:
Originally Posted by jeremywilhelm
I always heard you could only get a good assesment of a hitters true ability around the 500 AB area.
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From
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...come-reliable:
50 PA: Swing %
100 PA: Contact Rate
150 PA: Strikeout Rate, Line Drive Rate, Pitches/PA
200 PA: Walk Rate, Groundball Rate, GB/FB
250 PA: Flyball Rate
300 PA: Home Run Rate, HR/FB
500 PA: OBP, SLG, OPS, 1B Rate, Popup Rate
550 PA: ISO
Although those numbers are more geared towards a single season outlook (rather than projecting a players future seasons) it still gives you an idea of why you can't bench guys like Overbay (or even Snider) on one bad month