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Old 04-14-2010, 08:15 PM   #33
Doc Hudson
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cactus Jack View Post

Anaheim - Getzlaf (19), Perry (28), Hiller (undrafted FA)
Atlanta - Enstrom (8th rounder), Little (12th)
Boston - 2nd rounders (Lucic, Bergeron, Krejci)
Buffalo - Miller (5th rounder) , Roy (2nd rounder), Pominville (2nd round), Stafford (13), Myers (12), Butler (4th round), Tallinder (2nd rounder)
Carolina - Sutter (11), Ward (25)
Chicago - Keith (2nd round), Seabrook (14), Hjalmarsson (4th round), Brouwer (7th rounder), Byfuglien (8th rounder), Bolland (2nd round)
Colorado - Stasny (2nd round), Stewart (18), Galiardi (2nd round), Liles (5th round), O'Rilley (2nd round)
Columbus - Mason (3rd rounder)
Dallas - Ericksson (2nd round), Neal (2nd round), Morrow (25), Benn (5th round), Ott (25), Niskanen (28)
Detroit - Datsyuk (6th round), Zetterberg (7th round), Lidstrom (3rd round), Holmstrom (10th round), Filppula (3rd round), Helm (5th round), Kronawll (29), Ericksson (9th round), Franzen (3rd round), Abdelkader (2nd round)
Edmonton - Cogliano (25), Horcoff (4th round), Hemsky (13)
Florida - Booth (2nd round)
LA - Frolov (20), Brown (13), Simmonds (2nd round), Quick (3rd round)
Montreal - Plekanec (3rd round), Markov (6th round), Halak (9th round)
Nashville - Erat (7th round), Hornqvist (7th round), Weber (2nd round), Hamhius (12), Rinne (8th round)
NJ - Clarkson (undrafted free agent), Greene (undrafted free agent), Zajac (20), Parise (17), Martin (2nd round)
NYR - Lundqvist (7th round), Callahan (4th round), Dubinsky (2nd round), Del Zotto (20), Staal (12), Girardi (undrafted free agent)
Ottawa - Fisher (2nd round), Foligno (28), Volchenkov (24), Karlsson (15), Elliot (9th round)
Phili - Carter (11), Richards (24), Giroux (22)
Phoenix - Yandle (4th round)
Pittsburgh - Letang (3rd round), Goligoski (2nd round), Orpik (18), Talbot (8th round)
St. Louis - Backes (2nd rounder), 25-29 (Oshie, Berglund, Perron)
SJ - Vlasic (2nd round), Clowe (6th round), Pavelski (7th round)
TB - Ranger (6th round)
Toronto - Kulemin (2nd round), Bozak (undrafted free agent), Stahlberg (6th round)
Vancouver - Kesler (23), Burrows (undrafted free agent), Raymond (2nd round), Edler (3rd round), Bieksa (5th round).
Washington - Green (2nd round), Semin (13), Varlamov (23), Schultz (26), Fehr (18)
First off you made this way too open ended. But, I'm game. There are 100 drafted names there. Since 2000 there have been 8 drafts, lets make it 10 since you did use players drafted that long ago. 7 rounds of 30 picks is 210 picks per draft, 2100 over 10 drafts. Chances of impact player are 100/2100 = 4.7%

One can see why some teams have done poorly. Of course, this is with each pick, so the more picks you have, the better odds of getting an impact player. But, lets not pretend there is not alot of luck involved.

Also, there are only a handful of players on your list that I would consider actual impact players (for example, Gretlaf and Perry are definately impact players, as are the Detroit 4, but most are just decent NHLers much the same as Lombardi and other Flames picks), and were drafted after Calgary's first pick in the draft. It is really just a crapshoot. Noone, unless they use a solid statistical analysis (which I am not wasting my time on), will convince me otherwise.

Last edited by Doc Hudson; 04-14-2010 at 09:44 PM.
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