Not picking on you Flames0910 but there's a lot of bad information about what the Flash battle is all about.
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Originally Posted by Flames0910
flash/html5 is kind of analogous to blu-ray vs hd-dvd. It's going to be a long drawn out fight but html5 will probably win.
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Actually, Flash & HTML5 have almost nothing to do with one another. Flash is a multimedia development platform, HTML5 is a markup language standard. There's plenty of room for both, and they will coexist for many years.
Their functionality of course overlaps with streaming video, but there won't be any battle in that area. HTML5
will be the preferred standard for a lot of reasons (as soon as the W3C agrees on a format). But because users are awfully slow to upgrade their browsers, HTML5 sites will have to have Flash fallbacks to support older browsers (like the current version of IE).
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames0910
To me it looks like the industry is probably pissed about adobe's stranglehold of an important internet technology. And it's becoming more important as online-video grows.
In a fight with Microsoft, Google and Apple all on the same side, I don't see how Adobe thinks it could possibly win this one.
-Microsoft is fighting for Silverlight and html5 is a blow to flash
-Google wants an open and fast internet
-Apple is mad at adobe for not properly optimizing flash for safari
-Linux users don't like that flash is a pain to use on their system
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MS, Google, and Apple* aren't teaming up against Adobe really. All are pushing/supporting HTML5 but it's not because of Adobe's prominence in streaming video applications, it's because HTML4 was designed when the internet was a very different place and everyone's going to benefit from an updated standard.
*Apple is kind of against Adobe, but not because Adobe didn't optimizing Flash - from what I've heard Adobe
did propose a low-power version for iPhones. The problem is that you can write rich client-side games & apps in Flash, but Apple would like you to get your client-side games & apps from
their money factory - the App Store. They've correctly predicted that once HTML5 video streaming is standard, most people won't even miss Flash.
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Originally Posted by Flames0910
In the end it will come down to the developers. Will flash completely disappear? Probably not, but it likely won't be as prominent as it is right now.
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Agreed. It will be years before all users are HTML5 compliant, so Flash is here to stay (for now). But in 5 years or so Flash will be dead as a video streaming medium and will be used only for animations, games, etc.