I thought this was a good article. Shows even though a team is favoured, the possibility of winning isn't massive. The stats are also from before the lose to the US so one would expect that has a lowering affect on the percentage.
http://www.behindthenethockey.com/20...da-winning-the
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...In other words, there's no way that people should expect a gold medal - Canada's the favorite, and they probably have a 20% shot at winning (it would have been 25% if they had beaten Switzerland in regulation).
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