Carson left at much later age and he retired. Leno is not at that stage yet. If the demographics were the problem for Carson or Leno then they wouldn't be on top, would they?
Conan hasn't proven himself to be treated like Leno. He was good for the smaller drunken teenager crowd, but that crowd would also prefer the Cannibal Corpse instead of the Tonight Show Band.
Leno is much better suited to host the Tonight Show. Just because the younger crowd doesn't like him doesn't make it a good move to let him go. As we just witnessed.
Maybe Leno just needs to add a few fart jokes and act like a clown to appease the younger crowd, but then again, the Tonight Show is not a place for that.
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