Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty81
For sure it's a factor in that jays draft being so bad but the MLB draft has the lowest % success rate by far even amongst top picks. In 1999 as an extreme example, 16 of the first 30 picks never even played 1 MLB game! In 2000 it was 14, in 2001, 11. It seems to average out to around 1/3 of top 30 picks not even getting a single MLB game.
No other big 4 league has such poor draft pick predictability. Couple that with the quality of picks you get for a FA - at best probably around 20 & 40. It's better than nothing I guess.
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Top picks are only somewhat related to how good they are. A lot of teams go for signability with first round picks, hence why you'll see very different results.
However, one thing remains true, more money in the farm = better picks.