12-05-2009, 11:02 AM
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#316
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Spartanville
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jetsfan
Ottawa Citizen
Although little-known in Canada, McIntyre and McKitrick -- or M and M as they're called in climate change circles -- have since 2003 put forward evidence of faulty calculations in some of the key scientific studies behind the reports of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
They also showed that Mann's calculations ignored the data showing a major warming trend in the 15th century, much like the warming of the 20th century.
"That discovery hit me like a bombshell," wrote one scientist in the MIT Technology Review in 2004. " Suddenly the 'hockey stick,' the poster child of the global warming community, turns out to be an artifact of poor mathematics."
http://www.ottawacitizen.com/technol...516/story.html
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Yup ... old news. M & M have been slapped down on their claims numerous times. Instead of responding they do a HOZ. Loads of papers in there for you to chew over. Strange that the Citizen would report that they claim faulty calculations when their own statistics ... nm read down.
Quote:
The claims of McIntyre and McKitrick, which hold that the “Hockey-Stick” shape of the MBH98 reconstruction is an artifact of the use of series with infilled data and the convention by which certain networks of proxy data were represented in a Principal Components Analysis (”PCA”), are readily seen to be false , as detailed in a response by Mann and colleagues to their rejected Nature criticism demonstrating that (1) the Mann et al (1998) reconstruction is robust with respect to the elimination of any data that were infilled in the original analysis, (2) the main features of the Mann et al (1998) reconstruction are entirely insensitive to whether or not proxy data networks are represented by PCA, (3) the putative ‘correction’ by McIntyre and McKitrick, which argues for anomalous 15th century warmth (in contradiction to all other known reconstructions), is an artifact of the censoring by the authors of key proxy data in the original Mann et al (1998) dataset, and finally, (4) Unlike the original Mann et al (1998) reconstruction, the so-called ‘correction’ by McIntyre and McKitrick fails statistical verification exercises, rendering it statistically meaningless and unworthy of discussion in the legitimate scientific literature.
The claims of McIntyre and McKitrick have now been further discredited in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, in a paper to appear in the American Meteorological Society journal, “Journal of Climate” by Rutherford and colleagues (2004) [and by yet another paper by an independent set of authors that is currently "under review" and thus cannot yet be cited--more on this soon!]. Rutherford et al (2004) demonstrate nearly identical results to those of MBH98, using the same proxy dataset as Mann et al (1998) but addressing the issues of infilled/missing data raised by Mcintyre and McKitrick, and using an alternative climate field reconstruction (CFR) methodology that does not represent any proxy data networks by PCA at all.
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http://www.realclimate.org/index.php...k/#falseclaims
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